Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Gharafa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Ahli Jeddah v Al Gharafa — Team-Based Signals
Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Gharafa Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Al Gharafa
AŞMP
1-1
HT 0-0
Al Ahli Jeddah
AŞMP
Al Ahli Jeddah 4-2 Al Gharafa — Actual Match Statistics
Al Ahli Jeddah saw off Al Gharafa 4-2. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Al Ahli Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Al Ahli Jeddah had 59% of the ball to Al Gharafa's 41%, shots finished 25-8, expected goals 4.22 to 1.69.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Ahli Jeddah and 1.00 for Al Gharafa.
What was the final score of Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Gharafa?
Al Ahli Jeddah 4-2 Al Gharafa in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 17/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Gharafa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli Jeddah 57%, draw 21%, Al Gharafa 22%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.