Al Shorta 2-0 Al Ain — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 17 Feb 2025

📅17/02/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.24
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.29
6+ Goals
8%
12.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 33% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.99
1/2
5%
32.5
1/X
4%
12.6
X/1
14%
5.01
X/2 EV+ ✗
17%
6.84
X/X
14%
4.68
2/1
7%
25.0
2/2
12%
4.85
2/X
5%
13.2
Value flag · X/2 at 6.84 — our 17% vs market 10.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.4pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.1pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.6pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shorta EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ain EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +17%
0.74/0.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.88
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
352 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 80%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
23.0 Crosses 11.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Shorta
2-0
AWAY Al Ain
1.10 xG 0.87
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
346 Passes 329
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Shorta vs Al Ain
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shorta got the better of Al Ain 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Shorta as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Al Shorta had 52% of the ball to Al Ain's 48%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.10 to 0.87.

What was the final score of Al Shorta vs Al Ain?

Al Shorta 2-0 Al Ain in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 17/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shorta vs Al Ain?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Shorta win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Al Shorta 44%, draw 23%, Al Ain 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Shorta), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Shorta) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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