Persepolis 0-0 Al Nassr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 17 Feb 2025

Persepolis
0-0 HT 0-0
Al Nassr
📅17/02/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
AFC Sampiyonlar League – 2024/2025

Persepolis vs Al Nassr Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
36%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.9
Over 2.5
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.18
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.34
6+ Goals
8%
12.8
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.34 — our 24% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.76
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
12.95
X/1
11%
4.74
X/2
8%
7.3
X/X
15%
4.74
2/1
8%
24.3
2/2
19%
5.39
2/X
8%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
46%
-11.7pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.3pp
36%
Away Win
27%
+8.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.3pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Persepolis v Al Nassr — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Persepolis EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nassr EU Bookmakers 31%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.73/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.99
-20% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +54%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
24.2 Crosses 17.2
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.5

Persepolis vs Al Nassr Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Persepolis
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Al Nassr
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
0.76 xG 1.20
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
356 Passes 376
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
27.11.2023 Al Nassr Al Nassr 0-0 HT 0-0 Persepolis Persepolis AŞMP
19.09.2023 Persepolis Persepolis 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr AŞMP
03.10.2020 Al Nassr Al Nassr 1-1 HT 1-1 Persepolis Persepolis AŞMP
08.04.2015 Persepolis Persepolis 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr AŞMP
17.03.2015 Al Nassr Al Nassr 3-0 HT 1-0 Persepolis Persepolis AŞMP

Persepolis 0-0 Al Nassr — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Persepolis
0-0
AWAY Al Nassr
0.96 xG 1.01
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 5
394 Passes 413
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
8 Box Touches 19
5 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Persepolis vs Al Nassr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persepolis and Al Nassr fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 30% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Persepolis had 49% of the ball to Al Nassr's 51%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 0.96 to 1.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Nassr led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Persepolis and 1.20 for Al Nassr.

What was the final score of Persepolis vs Al Nassr?

Persepolis 0-0 Al Nassr in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 17/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Persepolis vs Al Nassr?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Persepolis 34%, draw 30%, Al Nassr 36%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Nassr) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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