Pena Deportiva 1-3 Sant Andreu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.9pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-2.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.2pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pena Deportiva EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Sant Andreu EU Bookmakers 42%
+12% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.29/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.01
+19% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
260 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pena Deportiva
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Sant Andreu
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
34% Ball Possession 66%
4 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2023 Sant Andreu Sant Andreu 2-2 HT 1-1 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pena Deportiva
1-3
AWAY Sant Andreu
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pena Deportiva vs Sant Andreu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sant Andreu saw off Pena Deportiva 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) promised a tight game; Sant Andreu found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pena Deportiva had 62% of the ball to Sant Andreu's 38%, shots finished 14-8.

What was the final score of Pena Deportiva vs Sant Andreu?

Pena Deportiva 1-3 Sant Andreu in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pena Deportiva vs Sant Andreu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sant Andreu win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Pena Deportiva 35%, draw 29%, Sant Andreu 36%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sant Andreu) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sant Andreu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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