D. Babol 1-0 Khooshe Talaee Saveh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.02
Draw
38%
2.88
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.41
Over 2.5
29%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.33
No
68%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
49%
2.0
2-3 Goals
34%
1.84
4-5 Goals
12%
6.63
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.0 — our 49% vs market 42.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
24%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
45%
-8.9pp
38%
Draw
31%
+6.9pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.0pp
71%
Under 2.5
67%
+4.0pp
29%
Over 2.5
33%
-4.1pp
32%
BTTS Yes
39%
-6.6pp
68%
BTTS No
61%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME D. Babol EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Khooshe Talaee Saveh EU Bookmakers 27%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.33/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/0.47
+8% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +119%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME D. Babol
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Khooshe Talaee Saveh
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
15.10.2023 Khooshe Talaee Saveh Khooshe Talaee Saveh 1-0 HT 0-0 D. Babol D. Babol IRANAZ
04.03.2023 D. Babol D. Babol 1-1 HT 0-0 Khooshe Talaee Saveh Khooshe Talaee Saveh IRANAZ
06.10.2022 Khooshe Talaee Saveh Khooshe Talaee Saveh 0-1 HT 0-1 D. Babol D. Babol IRANAZ
POST-MATCH D. Babol vs Khooshe Talaee Saveh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

D. Babol edged past Khooshe Talaee Saveh 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 38% / 26% — and on the day D. Babol made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (68%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for D. Babol and 0.67 for Khooshe Talaee Saveh.

What was the final score of D. Babol vs Khooshe Talaee Saveh?

D. Babol 1-0 Khooshe Talaee Saveh in the Iran - Azadegan League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for D. Babol vs Khooshe Talaee Saveh?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split D. Babol 36%, draw 38%, Khooshe Talaee Saveh 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
IRANAZ More Iran - Azadegan League
17 Mar 2024
18:30 Kheybar Khorramabad vs Mes Kerman Analysis →
18:30 Shahre Raz vs Pars Jam Bushehr Analysis →
18:30 Esteghlal Mollasani vs Naft Masjed Soleyman Analysis →
18:30 Shahrdari Astara vs Fajr Sepasi Analysis →
18:30 Chadormalu SC vs Mes Soongoun Analysis →