Esteghlal Mollasani 1-1 Naft Masjed Soleyman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.75
Draw
26%
2.83
Away
36%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.36
Over 2.5
38%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.44
No
60%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
1.88
2-3 Goals
36%
1.89
4-5 Goals
18%
7.4
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
23%
+15.1pp
26%
Draw
32%
-5.5pp
36%
Away Win
45%
-9.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
70%
-7.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
30%
+7.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
37%
+3.6pp
60%
BTTS No
63%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esteghlal Mollasani EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Naft Masjed Soleyman EU Bookmakers 49%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.16/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
+31% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esteghlal Mollasani
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Naft Masjed Soleyman
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
14.10.2023 Naft Masjed Soleyman Naft Masjed Soleyman 2-2 HT 1-1 Esteghlal Mollasani Esteghlal Mollasani IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Esteghlal Mollasani vs Naft Masjed Soleyman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esteghlal Mollasani and Naft Masjed Soleyman shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

What was the final score of Esteghlal Mollasani vs Naft Masjed Soleyman?

Esteghlal Mollasani 1-1 Naft Masjed Soleyman in the Iran - Azadegan League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esteghlal Mollasani vs Naft Masjed Soleyman?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esteghlal Mollasani win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Esteghlal Mollasani 38%, draw 26%, Naft Masjed Soleyman 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Esteghlal Mollasani), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Esteghlal Mollasani) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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