Kheybar Khorramabad 3-1 Mes Kerman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.82
Draw
28%
2.77
Away
14%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.25
Over 2.5
35%
3.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
3.06
No
66%
1.32
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
1.65
2-3 Goals
38%
2.02
4-5 Goals
17%
9.78
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
26%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
52%
+6.3pp
28%
Draw
33%
-5.0pp
14%
Away Win
15%
-1.3pp
65%
Under 2.5
76%
-11.0pp
35%
Over 2.5
24%
+11.0pp
34%
BTTS Yes
28%
+5.4pp
66%
BTTS No
72%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kheybar Khorramabad EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Mes Kerman EU Bookmakers 18%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.75/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/0.80
+33% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +61%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kheybar Khorramabad
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Mes Kerman
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
15.10.2023 Mes Kerman Mes Kerman 0-2 HT 0-1 Kheybar Khorramabad Kheybar Khorramabad IRANAZ
07.06.2022 Kheybar Khorramabad Kheybar Khorramabad 0-2 HT 0-1 Mes Kerman Mes Kerman IRANAZ
02.02.2022 Mes Kerman Mes Kerman 0-0 Kheybar Khorramabad Kheybar Khorramabad IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Kheybar Khorramabad vs Mes Kerman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kheybar Khorramabad got the better of Mes Kerman 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kheybar Khorramabad as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kheybar Khorramabad and 0.67 for Mes Kerman.

What was the final score of Kheybar Khorramabad vs Mes Kerman?

Kheybar Khorramabad 3-1 Mes Kerman in the Iran - Azadegan League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kheybar Khorramabad vs Mes Kerman?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kheybar Khorramabad win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Kheybar Khorramabad 58%, draw 28%, Mes Kerman 14%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kheybar Khorramabad) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kheybar Khorramabad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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