Shahrdari Astara 1-2 Fajr Sepasi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 17 Mar 2024

Shahrdari Astara
1-2 HT 0-2
Fajr Sepasi
📅17/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Iran - Azadegan League – 2023/2024

Shahrdari Astara vs Fajr Sepasi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.04
Draw
37%
2.77
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.26
Over 2.5
33%
3.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.81
No
56%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
1.65
2-3 Goals
40%
2.01
4-5 Goals
14%
9.73
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
27%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
22%
+2.3pp
37%
Draw
33%
+4.3pp
39%
Away Win
46%
-6.5pp
67%
Under 2.5
76%
-8.4pp
33%
Over 2.5
24%
+8.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
32%
+12.5pp
56%
BTTS No
68%
-12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Shahrdari Astara v Fajr Sepasi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shahrdari Astara EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Fajr Sepasi EU Bookmakers 49%
+21% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.63/0.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/0.73
-30% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +6%
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
243 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Shahrdari Astara vs Fajr Sepasi Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shahrdari Astara
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Fajr Sepasi
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
The Meetings
15.10.2023 Fajr Sepasi Fajr Sepasi 2-1 HT 0-1 Shahrdari Astara Shahrdari Astara IRANAZ
10.05.2023 Shahrdari Astara Shahrdari Astara 0-0 HT 0-0 Fajr Sepasi Fajr Sepasi IRANAZ
19.12.2022 Fajr Sepasi Fajr Sepasi 0-0 HT 0-0 Shahrdari Astara Shahrdari Astara IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Shahrdari Astara vs Fajr Sepasi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fajr Sepasi edged past Shahrdari Astara 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (24% / 37% / 39%) promised a tight game; Fajr Sepasi found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Fajr Sepasi led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Shahrdari Astara and 0.67 for Fajr Sepasi.

What was the final score of Shahrdari Astara vs Fajr Sepasi?

Shahrdari Astara 1-2 Fajr Sepasi in the Iran - Azadegan League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shahrdari Astara vs Fajr Sepasi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fajr Sepasi win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Shahrdari Astara 24%, draw 37%, Fajr Sepasi 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fajr Sepasi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fajr Sepasi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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