Hatayspor 3-0 Samsunspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
43%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.62
2-3 Goals
47%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.48
6+ Goals
7%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.94
1/2
7%
30.0
1/X
5%
13.8
X/1
12%
6.38
X/2
16%
4.72
X/X
15%
3.94
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
20%
3.22
2/X
7%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-0.6pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+2.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.5pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hatayspor EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Samsunspor EU Bookmakers 45%
+6% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -35%
1.18/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.01
+11% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / -2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 77%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
18.7 Crosses 22.3
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hatayspor
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Samsunspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.34 xG 2.04
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 12
218 Passes 284
67% Pass Accuracy 73%
11 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 30
6 Yellow Cards 3
04.11.2023 Samsunspor Samsunspor 2-1 HT 0-1 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hatayspor
3-0
AWAY Samsunspor
1.08 xG 0.44
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 7
195 Passes 282
66% Pass Accuracy 71%
12 Box Touches 20
5 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hatayspor vs Samsunspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hatayspor swept aside Samsunspor 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Samsunspor at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Hatayspor had 42% of the ball to Samsunspor's 58%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 1.08 to 0.44.

What was the final score of Hatayspor vs Samsunspor?

Hatayspor 3-0 Samsunspor in the Turkey - Super League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hatayspor vs Samsunspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Samsunspor win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hatayspor 29%, draw 27%, Samsunspor 43%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Samsunspor), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Samsunspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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