CD Castellon 2-2 Deportivo La Coruna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 17 Mar 2025

📅17/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.95
Over 2.5
43%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.41
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.28
6+ Goals
9%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.41 — our 31% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.85
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
10%
12.6
X/1
15%
4.91
X/2
13%
7.15
X/X
14%
4.8
2/1
7%
24.3
2/2
11%
5.1
2/X
7%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.2pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.9pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.6pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Castellon EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna EU Bookmakers 32%
-17% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
1.46/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.53
-19% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
19.6 Crosses 12.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Castellon
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.16 xG 4.31
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 4
282 Passes 307
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 33
6 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.12.2024 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 5-1 HT 3-1 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS2
02.06.2024 CD Castellon CD Castellon 2-4 HT 1-2 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS3
29.05.2024 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 2-1 HT 0-1 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS3
11.06.2023 CD Castellon CD Castellon 4-3 HT 2-1 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS3
04.06.2023 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Castellon
2-2
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna
1.84 xG 0.95
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
341 Passes 411
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
34 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CD Castellon vs Deportivo La Coruna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Castellon and Deportivo La Coruna shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CD Castellon had 47% of the ball to Deportivo La Coruna's 53%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 1.84 to 0.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Coruna led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for CD Castellon and 3.00 for Deportivo La Coruna.

What was the final score of CD Castellon vs Deportivo La Coruna?

CD Castellon 2-2 Deportivo La Coruna in the Spain - 2nd Division on 17/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Castellon vs Deportivo La Coruna?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Castellon win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split CD Castellon 39%, draw 30%, Deportivo La Coruna 30%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CD Castellon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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