Deportivo La Coruna 5-1 CD Castellon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 19 Dec 2024

Deportivo La Coruna
5-1 HT 3-1
CD Castellon
📅19/12/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Deportivo La Coruna vs CD Castellon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.0
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
38%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.16
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
2.9
6+ Goals
11%
8.72
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.16 — our 27% vs market 18.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.77
1/2
8%
32.0
1/X
7%
12.9
X/1
16%
4.88
X/2
15%
7.29
X/X
11%
5.33
2/1
9%
23.0
2/2
15%
4.85
2/X
5%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-7.5pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.5pp
38%
Away Win
28%
+10.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.6pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportivo La Coruna v CD Castellon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo La Coruna EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Castellon EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +21%
1.08/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.55
-41% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.9
17.7 Crosses 16.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3

Deportivo La Coruna vs CD Castellon Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo La Coruna
3W-0D-1L
AWAY CD Castellon
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
02.06.2024 CD Castellon CD Castellon 2-4 HT 1-2 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS3
29.05.2024 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 2-1 HT 0-1 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS3
11.06.2023 CD Castellon CD Castellon 4-3 HT 2-1 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS3
04.06.2023 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS3

Deportivo La Coruna 5-1 CD Castellon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo La Coruna
5-1
AWAY CD Castellon
4.31 xG 1.16
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 0
307 Passes 282
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
33 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo La Coruna vs CD Castellon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Coruna ran out comfortable winners over CD Castellon 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 23% / 38%) promised a tight game; Deportivo La Coruna found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Deportivo La Coruna had 53% of the ball to CD Castellon's 47%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 4.31 to 1.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Coruna had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Deportivo La Coruna and 1.75 for CD Castellon.

What was the final score of Deportivo La Coruna vs CD Castellon?

Deportivo La Coruna 5-1 CD Castellon in the Spain - 2nd Division on 19/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo La Coruna vs CD Castellon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo La Coruna win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Coruna 39%, draw 23%, CD Castellon 38%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo La Coruna), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo La Coruna) ✓ BTTS Yes
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