Elche 3-0 Racing Santander — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 19 Dec 2024

Elche
3-0 HT 1-0
Racing Santander
📅19/12/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Elche vs Racing Santander Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.98
2-3 Goals
36%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.69
6+ Goals
11%
15.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 31% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.34
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.75
X/1
15%
4.03
X/2
12%
9.11
X/X
13%
4.72
2/1
10%
25.5
2/2
8%
7.3
2/X
6%
15.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-4.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.0pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Elche v Racing Santander — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elche EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Santander EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +30%
1.73/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.37
-11% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
357 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 77%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
25.7 Crosses 13.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8

Elche vs Racing Santander Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elche
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Racing Santander
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.66 xG 1.28
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
386 Passes 244
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
32 Box Touches 18
32 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
04.05.2024 Racing Santander Racing Santander 3-1 HT 1-0 Elche Elche İS2
02.09.2023 Elche Elche 1-1 HT 1-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
04.07.2020 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-2 HT 1-0 Elche Elche İS2
01.12.2019 Elche Elche 2-0 HT 1-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
31.03.2013 Racing Santander Racing Santander 0-0 HT 0-0 Elche Elche İS2
28.10.2012 Elche Elche 1-0 HT 1-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2

Elche 3-0 Racing Santander — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elche
3-0
AWAY Racing Santander
2.33 xG 0.86
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
472 Passes 251
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
30 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Elche vs Racing Santander
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elche ran out comfortable winners over Racing Santander 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Elche as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Elche had 62% of the ball to Racing Santander's 38%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 2.33 to 0.86.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elche had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Elche and 0.83 for Racing Santander.

What was the final score of Elche vs Racing Santander?

Elche 3-0 Racing Santander in the Spain - 2nd Division on 19/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elche vs Racing Santander?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elche win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Elche 49%, draw 25%, Racing Santander 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elche), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Elche) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS2 More Spain - 2nd Division
19 Dec 2024
21:00 Cadiz vs Burgos Analysis →
23:15 Deportivo La Coruna vs CD Castellon Analysis →
23:15 Huesca vs Tenerife Analysis →