Huesca 1-0 Tenerife — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 19 Dec 2024

📅19/12/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.45
Over 2.5
46%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.29
No
51%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.05
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
5.82
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.76
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.65
X/1
13%
4.01
X/2
10%
8.01
X/X
11%
3.55
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
13%
7.25
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
16.55
Value flag · 2/X at 16.55 — our 10% vs market 3.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.3pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.0pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
65%
-11.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
35%
+11.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.0pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Huesca EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Tenerife EU Bookmakers 25%
+3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -11%
1.09/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.39
-14% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
367 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
19.7 Crosses 13.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Huesca
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Tenerife
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.59 xG 1.25
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
280 Passes 309
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.03.2024 Tenerife Tenerife 0-0 HT 0-0 Huesca Huesca İS2
21.08.2023 Huesca Huesca 0-2 HT 0-1 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
24.04.2023 Huesca Huesca 1-1 HT 1-0 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
19.11.2022 Tenerife Tenerife 2-0 HT 0-0 Huesca Huesca İS2
22.04.2022 Tenerife Tenerife 0-0 HT 0-0 Huesca Huesca İS2
02.10.2021 Huesca Huesca 1-2 HT 1-1 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Huesca
1-0
AWAY Tenerife
1.98 xG 0.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
300 Passes 366
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Huesca vs Tenerife
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Huesca squeezed past Tenerife 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Huesca as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Huesca had 45% of the ball to Tenerife's 55%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.98 to 0.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tenerife led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Huesca and 1.17 for Tenerife.

What was the final score of Huesca vs Tenerife?

Huesca 1-0 Tenerife in the Spain - 2nd Division on 19/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Huesca vs Tenerife?

Before kick-off our model rated a Huesca win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Huesca 45%, draw 28%, Tenerife 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Huesca), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Huesca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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