Cadiz 1-1 Burgos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 19 Dec 2024

Cadiz
1-1 HT 0-0
Burgos
📅19/12/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.54
Over 2.5
45%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.31
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.89
6+ Goals
9%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.52
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
9%
15.4
X/1
14%
3.94
X/2
8%
8.72
X/X
8%
3.92
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
8%
7.65
2/X
9%
16.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
51%
-0.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
61%
-6.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
39%
+6.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.1pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cadiz EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Burgos EU Bookmakers 24%
-5% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +3%
1.45/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.42
-8% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
27.1 Crosses 16.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cadiz
1-1
AWAY Burgos
0.53 xG 1.12
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
330 Passes 289
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 11
28 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cadiz vs Burgos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cadiz and Burgos couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Cadiz at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cadiz had 52% of the ball to Burgos's 48%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 0.53 to 1.12.

What was the final score of Cadiz vs Burgos?

Cadiz 1-1 Burgos in the Spain - 2nd Division on 19/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cadiz vs Burgos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cadiz win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Cadiz 50%, draw 26%, Burgos 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cadiz), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cadiz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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