AFC Wimbledon 2-4 Leyton Orient — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 17 Mar 2026

📅17/03/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.48
2-3 Goals
38%
1.7
4-5 Goals
21%
4.22
6+ Goals
9%
21.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.35
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.55
X/1
16%
4.92
X/2
12%
6.13
X/X
13%
4.02
2/1
8%
30.0
2/2
19%
4.69
2/X
8%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-3.5pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.2pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+5.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.2pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Wimbledon EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Leyton Orient EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -4%
1.29/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.42
-15% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
264 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 67%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
24.0 Crosses 15.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Wimbledon
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Leyton Orient
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.25 xG 1.36
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
178 Passes 269
60% Pass Accuracy 71%
16 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.01.2026 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 1-3 HT 1-1 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN1
04.02.2023 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 1-0 HT 0-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
08.11.2022 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 2-0 HT 2-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN2
06.10.2020 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 2-0 HT 1-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İNTK
08.10.2019 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 3-0 HT 1-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İNTK
23.04.2016 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 1-0 HT 1-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Wimbledon
2-4
AWAY Leyton Orient
1.99 xG 2.64
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
238 Passes 199
64% Pass Accuracy 66%
33 Box Touches 20
32 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AFC Wimbledon vs Leyton Orient
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leyton Orient saw off AFC Wimbledon 4-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Leyton Orient made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, AFC Wimbledon had 56% of the ball to Leyton Orient's 44%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.99 to 2.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AFC Wimbledon had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for AFC Wimbledon and 0.67 for Leyton Orient.

What was the final score of AFC Wimbledon vs Leyton Orient?

AFC Wimbledon 2-4 Leyton Orient in the England - 1st Division on 17/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Wimbledon vs Leyton Orient?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Wimbledon win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split AFC Wimbledon 37%, draw 26%, Leyton Orient 36%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (AFC Wimbledon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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