Stockport County vs Northampton Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stockport County v Northampton Town — Team-Based Signals
Stockport County vs Northampton Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Northampton Town
İN2
2-1
HT 0-1
Stockport County
İN2
2-2
HT 1-1
Northampton Town
İN2
Stockport County 2-1 Northampton Town — Actual Match Statistics
Stockport County edged past Northampton Town 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Stockport County as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Stockport County had 62% of the ball to Northampton Town's 38%, shots finished 21-4, expected goals 2.80 to 0.31 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Stockport County's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Stockport County and 1.00 for Northampton Town.
What was the final score of Stockport County vs Northampton Town?
Stockport County 2-1 Northampton Town in the England - 1st Division on 17/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stockport County vs Northampton Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Stockport County win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Stockport County 71%, draw 16%, Northampton Town 13%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stockport County), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.