Northampton Town 1-1 Stockport County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 4 Mar 2025

Northampton Town
1-1 HT 1-0
Stockport County
📅04/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Northampton Town vs Stockport County Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.46
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
47%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.59
Over 2.5
46%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.35
2-3 Goals
44%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
4.53
6+ Goals
7%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
6.14
1/2
9%
29.5
1/X
5%
15.2
X/1
5%
7.31
X/2
8%
4.4
X/X
13%
3.96
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
30%
2.83
2/X
8%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
25%
+2.0pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.2pp
47%
Away Win
46%
+0.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.2pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Northampton Town v Stockport County — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Northampton Town EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Stockport County EU Bookmakers 50%
-1% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
0.91/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/0.70
-25% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +26%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
228 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 74%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
19.0 Crosses 22.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3

Northampton Town vs Stockport County Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Northampton Town
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Stockport County
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.74 xG 1.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
200 Passes 309
60% Pass Accuracy 67%
16 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.10.2024 Stockport County Stockport County 1-1 HT 0-0 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1
14.01.2023 Stockport County Stockport County 2-0 HT 1-0 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN2
24.09.2022 Northampton Town Northampton Town 2-1 HT 0-1 Stockport County Stockport County İN2
25.04.2011 Stockport County Stockport County 2-2 HT 1-1 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN2
04.12.2010 Northampton Town Northampton Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN2
21.03.2009 Northampton Town Northampton Town 4-0 HT 2-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN1

Northampton Town 1-1 Stockport County — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Northampton Town
1-1
AWAY Stockport County
0.49 xG 0.38
40% Ball Possession 60%
4 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
115 Passes 241
46% Pass Accuracy 64%
18 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Northampton Town vs Stockport County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Northampton Town and Stockport County couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Stockport County at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Northampton Town had 40% of the ball to Stockport County's 60%, shots finished 4-6, expected goals 0.49 to 0.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Northampton Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Northampton Town and 1.00 for Stockport County.

What was the final score of Northampton Town vs Stockport County?

Northampton Town 1-1 Stockport County in the England - 1st Division on 04/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Northampton Town vs Stockport County?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stockport County win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Northampton Town 27%, draw 26%, Stockport County 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Stockport County), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stockport County) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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