Cambridge United 0-1 Stevenage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 4 Mar 2025

📅04/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
33%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.54
Over 2.5
44%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.24
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
4.83
6+ Goals
9%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
4.68
1/2
7%
33.0
1/X
7%
14.7
X/1
11%
5.87
X/2
10%
4.9
X/X
12%
3.82
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
16%
3.56
2/X
9%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
32%
+7.8pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.1pp
33%
Away Win
39%
-5.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
61%
-5.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
39%
+5.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.1pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cambridge United EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Stevenage EU Bookmakers 43%
+7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
1.11/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.27
+13% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
264 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 69%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
17.7 Crosses 17.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cambridge United
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Stevenage
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.81 xG 1.20
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
331 Passes 266
70% Pass Accuracy 67%
18 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2024 Stevenage Stevenage 0-2 HT 0-1 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
27.02.2024 Stevenage Stevenage 1-0 HT 1-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
15.08.2023 Cambridge United Cambridge United 1-2 HT 0-1 Stevenage Stevenage İN1
09.11.2021 Stevenage Stevenage 1-0 HT 1-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İNTK
24.04.2021 Cambridge United Cambridge United 0-1 HT 0-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN2
29.12.2020 Stevenage Stevenage 1-0 HT 1-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cambridge United
0-1
AWAY Stevenage
0.30 xG 1.82
51% Ball Possession 49%
1 Total Shots 10
0 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
195 Passes 200
59% Pass Accuracy 63%
6 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cambridge United vs Stevenage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stevenage nicked a narrow win over Cambridge United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Stevenage made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Cambridge United had 51% of the ball to Stevenage's 49%, shots finished 1-10, expected goals 0.30 to 1.82 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Stevenage's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stevenage led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Cambridge United and 1.00 for Stevenage.

What was the final score of Cambridge United vs Stevenage?

Cambridge United 0-1 Stevenage in the England - 1st Division on 04/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cambridge United vs Stevenage?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cambridge United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cambridge United 40%, draw 27%, Stevenage 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cambridge United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cambridge United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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