Stevenage 0-2 Cambridge United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.03
No
60%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.66
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.41
6+ Goals
8%
22.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.66 — our 36% vs market 31.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.38
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
15.85
X/1
15%
3.79
X/2
10%
8.62
X/X
11%
4.45
2/1
11%
27.0
2/2
12%
7.33
2/X
7%
16.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-8.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
45%
-5.6pp
60%
BTTS No
55%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stevenage EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cambridge United EU Bookmakers 24%
-10% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -13%
1.46/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.24
-41% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
311 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 65%
29.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
25.4 Crosses 17.6
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stevenage
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Cambridge United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.53 xG 0.84
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
245 Passes 340
65% Pass Accuracy 70%
24 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
27.02.2024 Stevenage Stevenage 1-0 HT 1-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
15.08.2023 Cambridge United Cambridge United 1-2 HT 0-1 Stevenage Stevenage İN1
09.11.2021 Stevenage Stevenage 1-0 HT 1-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İNTK
24.04.2021 Cambridge United Cambridge United 0-1 HT 0-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN2
29.12.2020 Stevenage Stevenage 1-0 HT 1-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN2
18.01.2020 Cambridge United Cambridge United 0-4 HT 0-1 Stevenage Stevenage İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stevenage
0-2
AWAY Cambridge United
0.24 xG 1.02
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
341 Passes 172
73% Pass Accuracy 56%
18 Box Touches 26
26 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stevenage vs Cambridge United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cambridge United beat Stevenage 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Stevenage at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Stevenage had 61% of the ball to Cambridge United's 39%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.24 to 1.02.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stevenage had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Stevenage and 0.17 for Cambridge United.

What was the final score of Stevenage vs Cambridge United?

Stevenage 0-2 Cambridge United in the England - 1st Division on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stevenage vs Cambridge United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stevenage win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Stevenage 45%, draw 27%, Cambridge United 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Stevenage) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stevenage) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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