Blackpool vs Port Vale Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Blackpool v Port Vale — Team-Based Signals
Blackpool vs Port Vale Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Blackpool
İN1
0-0
HT 0-0
Port Vale
İN1
0-1
HT 0-1
Blackpool
HAZ
0-1
HT 0-0
Port Vale
İN1
Blackpool 3-2 Port Vale — Actual Match Statistics
Blackpool squeezed past Port Vale 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Blackpool as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Blackpool had 54% of the ball to Port Vale's 46%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.87 to 1.57.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Port Vale led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Blackpool and 1.67 for Port Vale.
What was the final score of Blackpool vs Port Vale?
Blackpool 3-2 Port Vale in the England - 1st Division on 17/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Blackpool vs Port Vale?
Before kick-off our model rated a Blackpool win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Blackpool 48%, draw 23%, Port Vale 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Blackpool) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.