Blackpool vs Port Vale Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Blackpool v Port Vale — Team-Based Signals
Blackpool vs Port Vale Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Blackpool
İN1
0-0
HT 0-0
Port Vale
İN1
0-1
HT 0-1
Blackpool
HAZ
0-1
HT 0-0
Port Vale
İN1
2-0
HT 0-0
Blackpool
İN1
1-2
HT 0-1
Blackpool
İNTK
Blackpool 0-1 Port Vale — Actual Match Statistics
Port Vale nicked a narrow win over Blackpool 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
This one beat our numbers. Blackpool carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Blackpool had 57% of the ball to Port Vale's 43%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.63 to 1.00.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Port Vale led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Blackpool and 1.17 for Port Vale.
What was the final score of Blackpool vs Port Vale?
Blackpool 0-1 Port Vale in the England - League Cup on 12/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Blackpool vs Port Vale?
Before kick-off our model rated a Blackpool win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Blackpool 59%, draw 20%, Port Vale 22%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.