Neptüna Klaipeda 0-3 Garliava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 17 Mar 2026

📅17/03/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
15%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.03
No
48%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
68%
-5.1pp
22%
Draw
20%
+3.0pp
15%
Away Win
12%
+2.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
45%
+6.6pp
48%
BTTS No
55%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neptüna Klaipeda EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Garliava EU Bookmakers 16%
-6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +22%
2.18/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/2.24
-2% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
430 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neptüna Klaipeda
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Garliava
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 Garliava Garliava 0-2 HT 0-1 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
26.04.2024 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 1-0 HT 1-0 Garliava Garliava LIT1
25.08.2023 Garliava Garliava 0-1 HT 0-1 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
07.04.2023 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 1-2 HT 0-0 Garliava Garliava LIT1
10.09.2022 Garliava Garliava 2-3 HT 1-0 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
POST-MATCH Neptüna Klaipeda vs Garliava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Garliava ran out comfortable winners over Neptüna Klaipeda 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Neptüna Klaipeda at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Neptüna Klaipeda had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Neptüna Klaipeda and 0.80 for Garliava.

What was the final score of Neptüna Klaipeda vs Garliava?

Neptüna Klaipeda 0-3 Garliava in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 17/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neptüna Klaipeda vs Garliava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neptüna Klaipeda win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Neptüna Klaipeda 63%, draw 22%, Garliava 15%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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