BFA 1-0 FA Siauliai II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 17 Mar 2026

📅17/03/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.86
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
19%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.23
Over 2.5
62%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
50%
+10.8pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.1pp
19%
Away Win
26%
-6.7pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.9pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.3pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BFA EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY FA Siauliai II EU Bookmakers 29%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +4%
2.13/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/2.52
+35% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -40%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BFA
5W-0D-1L
AWAY FA Siauliai II
3.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.08.2025 BFA BFA 5-1 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
27.04.2025 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 0-4 BFA BFA LIT1
03.11.2024 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 1-3 BFA BFA LIT1
16.06.2024 BFA BFA 7-0 HT 3-0 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
05.11.2023 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 4-2 BFA BFA LIT1
25.06.2023 BFA BFA 2-1 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BFA
1-0
AWAY FA Siauliai II
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH BFA vs FA Siauliai II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BFA nicked a narrow win over FA Siauliai II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had BFA as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, BFA had 52% of the ball to FA Siauliai II's 48%, shots finished 16-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, BFA had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.83 goals for BFA and 1.17 for FA Siauliai II.

What was the final score of BFA vs FA Siauliai II?

BFA 1-0 FA Siauliai II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 17/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BFA vs FA Siauliai II?

Before kick-off our model rated a BFA win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split BFA 61%, draw 20%, FA Siauliai II 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BFA) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (BFA) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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