Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Katowice Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Jagiellonia Bialystok v Katowice — Team-Based Signals
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Katowice Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Jagiellonia Bialystok
POLK
Jagiellonia Bialystok 2-1 Katowice — Actual Match Statistics
Jagiellonia Bialystok nicked a narrow win over Katowice 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Jagiellonia Bialystok as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Jagiellonia Bialystok had 51% of the ball to Katowice's 49%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 1.51 to 0.70.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Katowice led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Jagiellonia Bialystok and 1.50 for Katowice.
What was the final score of Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Katowice?
Jagiellonia Bialystok 2-1 Katowice in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 17/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Katowice?
Before kick-off our model rated a Jagiellonia Bialystok win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Jagiellonia Bialystok 53%, draw 20%, Katowice 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jagiellonia Bialystok), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.