Detroit City vs Michigan Stars Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Detroit City v Michigan Stars — Team-Based Signals
Detroit City 1-0 Michigan Stars — Actual Match Statistics
Detroit City nicked a narrow win over Michigan Stars 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Detroit City as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Detroit City had 65% of the ball to Michigan Stars's 35%, shots finished 22-6, expected goals 2.02 to 0.32 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Detroit City's control.
What was the final score of Detroit City vs Michigan Stars?
Detroit City 1-0 Michigan Stars in the USA - Open Cup on 17/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Detroit City vs Michigan Stars?
Before kick-off our model rated a Detroit City win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Detroit City 60%, draw 20%, Michigan Stars 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Detroit City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.