New Mexico United 3-1 Lubbock Matadors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 17 Apr 2024

📅17/04/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
66%
-10.0pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.8pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New Mexico United EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Lubbock Matadors EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
398 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New Mexico United
3-1
AWAY Lubbock Matadors
65% Ball Possession 35%
23 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
535 Passes 264
89% Pass Accuracy 81%
POST-MATCH New Mexico United vs Lubbock Matadors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New Mexico United got the better of Lubbock Matadors 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had New Mexico United as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, New Mexico United had 65% of the ball to Lubbock Matadors's 35%, shots finished 23-8.

What was the final score of New Mexico United vs Lubbock Matadors?

New Mexico United 3-1 Lubbock Matadors in the USA - Open Cup on 17/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New Mexico United vs Lubbock Matadors?

Before kick-off our model rated a New Mexico United win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split New Mexico United 56%, draw 23%, Lubbock Matadors 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New Mexico United) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (New Mexico United) ✗ BTTS No
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