Oakland Roots vs El Farolito Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Oakland Roots v El Farolito — Team-Based Signals
Oakland Roots 2-1 El Farolito — Actual Match Statistics
Oakland Roots squeezed past El Farolito 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Oakland Roots as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Oakland Roots had 57% of the ball to El Farolito's 43%, shots finished 20-15, expected goals 1.95 to 1.41.
What was the final score of Oakland Roots vs El Farolito?
Oakland Roots 2-1 El Farolito in the USA - Open Cup on 17/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Oakland Roots vs El Farolito?
Before kick-off our model rated a Oakland Roots win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Oakland Roots 55%, draw 23%, El Farolito 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oakland Roots) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.