Daegu 1-2 Cheongju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 17 Apr 2024

📅17/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.43
Draw
35%
4.08
Away
18%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.23
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.64
6+ Goals
8%
14.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 30% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
23%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
66%
-18.5pp
35%
Draw
21%
+13.9pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+4.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.3pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daegu EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Cheongju EU Bookmakers 16%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.76/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/2.83
-4% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +106% / -32%
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
466 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 71%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.8 Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Daegu vs Cheongju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cheongju nicked a narrow win over Daegu 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Daegu at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Daegu vs Cheongju?

Daegu 1-2 Cheongju in the South Kore - K League Classic on 17/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daegu vs Cheongju?

Before kick-off our model rated a Daegu win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Daegu 47%, draw 35%, Cheongju 17%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Daegu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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