Greifswalder SV 2-1 Altglienicke — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 17 Apr 2025

📅17/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.66
No
55%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.6pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greifswalder SV EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Altglienicke EU Bookmakers 37%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +5%
1.46/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.01
-7% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +46%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
246 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greifswalder SV
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Altglienicke
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.10.2024 Altglienicke Altglienicke 2-2 HT 1-1 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
06.02.2024 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 1-2 HT 1-1 Altglienicke Altglienicke ALMBÖL
06.05.2023 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 1-2 HT 1-2 Altglienicke Altglienicke ALMBÖL
25.11.2022 Altglienicke Altglienicke 2-3 HT 1-1 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Greifswalder SV vs Altglienicke
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greifswalder SV squeezed past Altglienicke 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Greifswalder SV made the difference. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Altglienicke led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Greifswalder SV and 2.00 for Altglienicke.

What was the final score of Greifswalder SV vs Altglienicke?

Greifswalder SV 2-1 Altglienicke in the Germany - Regional League on 17/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greifswalder SV vs Altglienicke?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greifswalder SV win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Greifswalder SV 38%, draw 27%, Altglienicke 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Greifswalder SV) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Greifswalder SV) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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