Sibenik 0-4 Dinamo Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 17 Apr 2025

📅17/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.4
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
52%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.95
Over
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.99
No
46%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
23%
3.34
2-3
39%
1.77
4-5
28%
3.3
6+
10%
12.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
15%
+7.3pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.4pp
52%
Away Win
64%
-11.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
46%
+7.9pp
46%
BTTS No
54%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sibenik EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb EU Bookmakers 69%
-8% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -19%
0.81/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/0.81
-20% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -9%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
245 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 82%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.6
15.7 Crosses 19.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sibenik
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.59 xG 1.46
34% Ball Possession 66%
5 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
230 Passes 583
75% Pass Accuracy 88%
9 Box Touches 27
7 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.02.2025 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 3-0 HT 1-0 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
01.11.2024 Sibenik Sibenik 0-4 HT 0-2 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
16.08.2024 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 3-0 HT 2-0 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
14.05.2023 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 4-0 HT 1-0 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
05.04.2023 Sibenik Sibenik 2-1 HT 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIRK
11.03.2023 Sibenik Sibenik 2-1 HT 2-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sibenik
0-4
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
0.44 xG 2.14
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 11
240 Passes 500
73% Pass Accuracy 86%
11 Box Touches 30
10 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sibenik vs Dinamo Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Zagreb swept aside Sibenik 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dinamo Zagreb as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Sibenik had 36% of the ball to Dinamo Zagreb's 64%, shots finished 7-21, expected goals 0.44 to 2.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Zagreb led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sibenik and 2.67 for Dinamo Zagreb.

What was the final score of Sibenik vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Sibenik 0-4 Dinamo Zagreb in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 17/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sibenik vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Sibenik 23%, draw 25%, Dinamo Zagreb 52%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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