Santa Ana 1-4 Municipal Liberia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 17 Apr 2025

📅17/04/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.75
Over 2.5
52%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+1.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
53%
-5.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
47%
+5.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.3pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Ana EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 32%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -8%
0.99/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.37
-34% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
336 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Ana
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Municipal Liberia
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
33% Ball Possession 67%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.01.2025 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 4-0 HT 2-0 Santa Ana KOSTA
05.10.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 2-3 HT 0-2 Santa Ana KOSTA
31.08.2024 Santa Ana 2-1 HT 1-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Ana
1-4
AWAY Municipal Liberia
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Santa Ana vs Municipal Liberia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal Liberia cruised past Santa Ana 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Santa Ana at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Santa Ana had 61% of the ball to Municipal Liberia's 39%, shots finished 11-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Santa Ana had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Santa Ana and 2.33 for Municipal Liberia.

What was the final score of Santa Ana vs Municipal Liberia?

Santa Ana 1-4 Municipal Liberia in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 17/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Ana vs Municipal Liberia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Ana win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Santa Ana 41%, draw 29%, Municipal Liberia 31%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Santa Ana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santa Ana) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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