Degerfors 0-1 Elfsborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 17 Apr 2026

Degerfors
0-1 HT 0-0
Elfsborg
📅17/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2026

Degerfors vs Elfsborg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
47%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.6
Over
49%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.88
No
44%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2.47
2-3
46%
1.73
4-5
21%
4.43
6+
8%
23.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.78
1/2 ✗
9%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.6
X/1
10%
5.28
X/2
15%
5.63
X/X
9%
3.93
2/1
5%
32.0
2/2
23%
4.16
2/X
10%
13.7
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.0 — our 9% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Degerfors v Elfsborg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Degerfors The Market 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Elfsborg The Market 37%
-12% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -7%
1.28/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.40
-31% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
24.9 Crosses 20.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Degerfors vs Elfsborg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Degerfors
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Elfsborg
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.29 xG 2.24
46% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
298 Passes 321
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 36
21 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.09.2025 Elfsborg Elfsborg 1-2 HT 0-2 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
19.04.2025 Degerfors Degerfors 0-1 HT 0-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
03.03.2024 Elfsborg Elfsborg 2-2 HT 0-1 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇK
05.11.2023 Elfsborg Elfsborg 2-2 HT 0-1 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
22.04.2023 Degerfors Degerfors 1-2 HT 1-1 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
14.10.2022 Elfsborg Elfsborg 1-1 HT 0-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ

Degerfors 0-1 Elfsborg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Degerfors
0-1
AWAY Elfsborg
1.19 xG 0.37
66% Ball Possession 34%
11 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
394 Passes 167
82% Pass Accuracy 67%
23 Box Touches 11
31 Crosses 9
5 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Degerfors vs Elfsborg
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Elfsborg shaded a tight game against Degerfors 1-0 on the road. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Elfsborg as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. Notably, the market (2.69) had it nearer 37% — this one landed for the bolder read. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

Under the surface, possession split 66% to 34% in Degerfors's favour, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 1.19 to 0.37 — on chances, Degerfors could feel hard done by.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elfsborg led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Degerfors against 1.50 for Elfsborg.

Degerfors vs Elfsborg Result & Final Score

Degerfors 0-1 Elfsborg in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Degerfors vs Elfsborg Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Elfsborg win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Degerfors 25%, draw 28%, Elfsborg 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elfsborg), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Elfsborg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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