Babelsberg 2-3 Luckenwalde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 17 Apr 2026

📅17/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.8
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.07
Over 2.5
57%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
52%
-0.5pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.6pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.3pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Babelsberg EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Luckenwalde EU Bookmakers 27%
+4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
1.83/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.65
+2% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
378 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Babelsberg
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Luckenwalde
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
24.10.2025 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 0-0 HT 0-0 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
23.11.2024 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 2-2 HT 0-1 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
09.03.2024 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 1-2 HT 0-2 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
22.09.2023 Babelsberg Babelsberg 1-2 HT 0-2 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
26.02.2023 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 3-1 HT 3-0 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
09.09.2022 Babelsberg Babelsberg 1-1 HT 1-1 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Babelsberg vs Luckenwalde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luckenwalde edged past Babelsberg 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Babelsberg at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luckenwalde led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Babelsberg and 1.50 for Luckenwalde.

What was the final score of Babelsberg vs Luckenwalde?

Babelsberg 2-3 Luckenwalde in the Germany - Regional League on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Babelsberg vs Luckenwalde?

Before kick-off our model rated a Babelsberg win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Babelsberg 51%, draw 22%, Luckenwalde 27%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Babelsberg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Babelsberg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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