Luckenwalde 2-2 Babelsberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+0.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
39%
Away Win
39%
-0.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.7pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luckenwalde EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Babelsberg EU Bookmakers 43%
-10% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -11%
1.35/1.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.41
-8% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
272 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luckenwalde
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Babelsberg
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
09.03.2024 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 1-2 HT 0-2 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
22.09.2023 Babelsberg Babelsberg 1-2 HT 0-2 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
26.02.2023 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 3-1 HT 3-0 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
09.09.2022 Babelsberg Babelsberg 1-1 HT 1-1 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
13.02.2022 Babelsberg Babelsberg 2-1 HT 1-0 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
17.08.2021 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 0-0 HT 0-0 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Luckenwalde vs Babelsberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luckenwalde and Babelsberg couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Luckenwalde and 1.17 for Babelsberg.

What was the final score of Luckenwalde vs Babelsberg?

Luckenwalde 2-2 Babelsberg in the Germany - Regional League on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luckenwalde vs Babelsberg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Babelsberg win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Luckenwalde 35%, draw 27%, Babelsberg 39%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Babelsberg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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