Homburg 0-1 Eintracht Trier — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
33%
3.54
Away
26%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.03
Over 2.5
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.61
No
54%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
14%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.7pp
33%
Draw
25%
+7.9pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-3.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.3pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Homburg EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Eintracht Trier EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.46/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.91
-13% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
284 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 183 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Homburg
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Eintracht Trier
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
54% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.07.2024 Eintracht Trier Eintracht Trier 4-1 HT 2-0 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
05.11.2022 Homburg Homburg 1-1 HT 0-0 Eintracht Trier Eintracht Trier ALMBÖL
05.12.2014 Eintracht Trier Eintracht Trier 0-3 HT 0-2 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
10.08.2014 Homburg Homburg 0-2 HT 0-1 Eintracht Trier Eintracht Trier ALMBÖL
17.05.2014 Homburg Homburg 2-0 HT 1-0 Eintracht Trier Eintracht Trier ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Homburg vs Eintracht Trier
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eintracht Trier squeezed past Homburg 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Homburg at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Homburg and 1.40 for Eintracht Trier.

What was the final score of Homburg vs Eintracht Trier?

Homburg 0-1 Eintracht Trier in the Germany - Regional League on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Homburg vs Eintracht Trier?

Before kick-off our model rated a Homburg win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Homburg 41%, draw 33%, Eintracht Trier 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Homburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Homburg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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