Rot-Weiss Erfurt 1-1 Altglienicke — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
45%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
35%
-6.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
45%
Away Win
40%
+4.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.2pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rot-Weiss Erfurt EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Altglienicke EU Bookmakers 45%
+11% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +1%
1.62/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/0.99
+10% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +39%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
179 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rot-Weiss Erfurt
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Altglienicke
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 2-2 HT 0-2 Altglienicke Altglienicke ALMBÖL
31.08.2023 Altglienicke Altglienicke 1-1 HT 0-1 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
21.02.2023 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 0-2 HT 0-0 Altglienicke Altglienicke ALMBÖL
23.11.2019 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 1-1 HT 1-1 Altglienicke Altglienicke ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Altglienicke
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Erfurt and Altglienicke shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Altglienicke at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Altglienicke led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rot-Weiss Erfurt and 1.50 for Altglienicke.

What was the final score of Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Altglienicke?

Rot-Weiss Erfurt 1-1 Altglienicke in the Germany - Regional League on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Altglienicke?

Before kick-off our model rated an Altglienicke win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Rot-Weiss Erfurt 28%, draw 27%, Altglienicke 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Altglienicke), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Altglienicke) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
23 Nov 2024
15:00 Luckenwalde vs Babelsberg Analysis →
15:00 Meuselwitz vs Carl Zeiss Jena Analysis →
16:00 Kickers Offenbach vs Freiburg II Analysis →
16:00 Steinbach vs FSV Frankfurt Analysis →
16:00 Homburg vs Eintracht Trier Analysis →
16:00 FC Giessen vs Bahlinger SC Analysis →