Rot-Weiss Erfurt 2-2 Altglienicke — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
46%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.61
No
55%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
31%
-1.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
45%
Away Win
44%
+1.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-13.2pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rot-Weiss Erfurt EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Altglienicke EU Bookmakers 48%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +7%
1.38/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/0.97
-1% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +33%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
316 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rot-Weiss Erfurt
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Altglienicke
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2023 Altglienicke Altglienicke 1-1 HT 0-1 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
21.02.2023 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 0-2 HT 0-0 Altglienicke Altglienicke ALMBÖL
23.11.2019 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 1-1 HT 1-1 Altglienicke Altglienicke ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rot-Weiss Erfurt
2-2
AWAY Altglienicke
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Altglienicke
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Erfurt and Altglienicke couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Altglienicke at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rot-Weiss Erfurt had 58% of the ball to Altglienicke's 42%, shots finished 13-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Altglienicke led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Rot-Weiss Erfurt and 1.33 for Altglienicke.

What was the final score of Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Altglienicke?

Rot-Weiss Erfurt 2-2 Altglienicke in the Germany - Regional League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Altglienicke?

Before kick-off our model rated an Altglienicke win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Rot-Weiss Erfurt 29%, draw 25%, Altglienicke 45%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Altglienicke) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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