FSV Frankfurt 1-1 Homburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 17 Apr 2026

📅17/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
46%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.39
No
44%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-2.9pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
46%
Away Win
44%
+2.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.7pp
44%
BTTS No
32%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FSV Frankfurt EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Homburg EU Bookmakers 48%
+8% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -13%
1.44/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.32
+7% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
399 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FSV Frankfurt
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Homburg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
10.10.2025 Homburg Homburg 3-1 HT 1-0 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt ALMBÖL
19.04.2025 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt 0-3 HT 0-2 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
18.10.2024 Homburg Homburg 2-3 HT 1-1 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt ALMBÖL
16.03.2024 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt 0-1 HT 0-0 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
08.09.2023 Homburg Homburg 1-1 HT 0-0 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt ALMBÖL
03.12.2022 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt 1-1 HT 0-0 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH FSV Frankfurt vs Homburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FSV Frankfurt and Homburg shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Homburg at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Homburg led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FSV Frankfurt and 1.83 for Homburg.

What was the final score of FSV Frankfurt vs Homburg?

FSV Frankfurt 1-1 Homburg in the Germany - Regional League on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FSV Frankfurt vs Homburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Homburg win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split FSV Frankfurt 29%, draw 24%, Homburg 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Homburg), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Homburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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