FSV Frankfurt 0-1 Homburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 16 Mar 2024

FSV Frankfurt
0-1 HT 0-0
Homburg
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2023/2024

FSV Frankfurt vs Homburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
49%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
29%
-2.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
49%
Away Win
46%
+2.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.2pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FSV Frankfurt v Homburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FSV Frankfurt EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Homburg EU Bookmakers 50%
+12% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
1.83/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.29
+33% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +0%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
280 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

FSV Frankfurt vs Homburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FSV Frankfurt
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Homburg
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.09.2023 Homburg Homburg 1-1 HT 0-0 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt ALMBÖL
03.12.2022 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt 1-1 HT 0-0 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
14.08.2022 Homburg Homburg 7-0 HT 3-0 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt ALMBÖL
30.04.2022 Homburg Homburg 1-2 HT 1-0 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt ALMBÖL
05.11.2021 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt 1-3 HT 0-1 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
03.04.2021 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt 0-0 HT 0-0 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL

FSV Frankfurt 0-1 Homburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FSV Frankfurt
0-1
AWAY Homburg
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FSV Frankfurt vs Homburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Homburg nicked a narrow win over FSV Frankfurt 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Homburg as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FSV Frankfurt had 49% of the ball to Homburg's 51%, shots finished 16-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Homburg led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FSV Frankfurt and 2.17 for Homburg.

What was the final score of FSV Frankfurt vs Homburg?

FSV Frankfurt 0-1 Homburg in the Germany - Regional League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FSV Frankfurt vs Homburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Homburg win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split FSV Frankfurt 26%, draw 25%, Homburg 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Homburg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Homburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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