Homburg 3-1 FSV Frankfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 10 Oct 2025

📅10/10/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
23%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.53
No
52%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
50%
+0.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-2.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
61%
-13.4pp
52%
BTTS No
39%
+13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Homburg EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY FSV Frankfurt EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.63/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.52
-10% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
405 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Homburg
3W-2D-1L
AWAY FSV Frankfurt
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
19.04.2025 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt 0-3 HT 0-2 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
18.10.2024 Homburg Homburg 2-3 HT 1-1 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt ALMBÖL
16.03.2024 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt 0-1 HT 0-0 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
08.09.2023 Homburg Homburg 1-1 HT 0-0 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt ALMBÖL
03.12.2022 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt 1-1 HT 0-0 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
14.08.2022 Homburg Homburg 7-0 HT 3-0 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Homburg vs FSV Frankfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Homburg got the better of FSV Frankfurt 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Homburg as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Homburg had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Homburg and 0.83 for FSV Frankfurt.

What was the final score of Homburg vs FSV Frankfurt?

Homburg 3-1 FSV Frankfurt in the Germany - Regional League on 10/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Homburg vs FSV Frankfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Homburg win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Homburg 51%, draw 26%, FSV Frankfurt 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Homburg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Homburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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