Buchbach 1-4 Vilzing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 10 Oct 2025

📅10/10/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.19
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.53
No
39%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
42%
+5.1pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.3pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.3pp
61%
BTTS Yes
61%
-0.4pp
39%
BTTS No
39%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buchbach EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Vilzing EU Bookmakers 37%
+5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.78/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.46
+12% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
307 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 19.0
3.3 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buchbach
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Vilzing
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
26.04.2025 Vilzing Vilzing 3-1 HT 1-1 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
11.10.2024 Buchbach Buchbach 1-1 HT 0-1 Vilzing Vilzing ALMBÖL
13.04.2024 Vilzing Vilzing 3-1 HT 1-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
29.09.2023 Buchbach Buchbach 1-2 HT 1-0 Vilzing Vilzing ALMBÖL
20.05.2023 Vilzing Vilzing 1-0 HT 0-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
22.10.2022 Buchbach Buchbach 1-2 HT 0-1 Vilzing Vilzing ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Buchbach vs Vilzing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vilzing swept aside Buchbach 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Buchbach at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vilzing led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Buchbach and 2.00 for Vilzing.

What was the final score of Buchbach vs Vilzing?

Buchbach 1-4 Vilzing in the Germany - Regional League on 10/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buchbach vs Vilzing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Buchbach win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Buchbach 47%, draw 21%, Vilzing 33%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Buchbach) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Buchbach) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
10 Oct 2025
20:00 Hankofen-Hailing vs Unterhaching Analysis →
20:00 Memmingen vs Ansbach 09 Analysis →
20:00 Homburg vs FSV Frankfurt Analysis →
20:00 Astoria Walldorf vs Eintracht Trier Analysis →
20:00 Magdeburg II vs Hertha Berlin II Analysis →