FSV Frankfurt 0-3 Homburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
43%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.49
No
48%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+4.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
43%
Away Win
49%
-6.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
63%
-11.4pp
48%
BTTS No
37%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FSV Frankfurt EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Homburg EU Bookmakers 53%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
0.94/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.06
-26% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +14%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
295 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FSV Frankfurt
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Homburg
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
18.10.2024 Homburg Homburg 2-3 HT 1-1 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt ALMBÖL
16.03.2024 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt 0-1 HT 0-0 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
08.09.2023 Homburg Homburg 1-1 HT 0-0 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt ALMBÖL
03.12.2022 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt 1-1 HT 0-0 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
14.08.2022 Homburg Homburg 7-0 HT 3-0 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt ALMBÖL
30.04.2022 Homburg Homburg 1-2 HT 1-0 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH FSV Frankfurt vs Homburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Homburg swept aside FSV Frankfurt 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Homburg as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FSV Frankfurt and 2.17 for Homburg.

What was the final score of FSV Frankfurt vs Homburg?

FSV Frankfurt 0-3 Homburg in the Germany - Regional League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FSV Frankfurt vs Homburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Homburg win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split FSV Frankfurt 32%, draw 26%, Homburg 43%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Homburg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Homburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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