Köln II 3-0 Fortuna Köln — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 17 Apr 2026

📅17/04/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
4.65
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
64%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.23
Over 2.5
48%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
21%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
36%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
19%
-5.6pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.9pp
64%
Away Win
59%
+4.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.4pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Köln II EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Köln EU Bookmakers 62%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.24/1.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/0.62
+6% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +67%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
295 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Köln II
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Fortuna Köln
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
46% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
25.10.2025 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 3-2 HT 1-0 Köln II Köln II ALMBÖL
09.02.2025 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 3-3 HT 3-1 Köln II Köln II ALMBÖL
18.08.2024 Köln II Köln II 1-2 HT 1-1 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
01.12.2023 Köln II Köln II 3-3 HT 3-0 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
06.05.2023 Köln II Köln II 3-1 HT 1-1 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
10.11.2022 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 2-2 HT 0-0 Köln II Köln II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Köln II vs Fortuna Köln
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Köln II swept aside Fortuna Köln 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Fortuna Köln at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortuna Köln led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Köln II and 2.33 for Fortuna Köln.

What was the final score of Köln II vs Fortuna Köln?

Köln II 3-0 Fortuna Köln in the Germany - Regional League on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Köln II vs Fortuna Köln?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fortuna Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Köln II 13%, draw 23%, Fortuna Köln 64%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Fortuna Köln), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fortuna Köln) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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