Kapfenberger SV 3-1 Bregenz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 17 Apr 2026

📅17/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.18
Over 2.5
58%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.53
No
35%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.11
2-3 Goals
34%
1.81
4-5 Goals
30%
2.8
6+ Goals
13%
8.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
3.2
1/2
8%
26.5
1/X
6%
12.2
X/1
20%
5.53
X/2
13%
6.4
X/X
12%
5.26
2/1
7%
23.5
2/2
17%
4.0
2/X
7%
12.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-3.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+3.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.1pp
65%
BTTS Yes
61%
+3.7pp
35%
BTTS No
39%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kapfenberger SV EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Bregenz EU Bookmakers 37%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.97/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.51
+35% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
365 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 79%
15.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.5 Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kapfenberger SV
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Bregenz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
9 Corners 4
24.10.2025 Bregenz Bregenz 1-1 HT 1-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
01.12.2024 Bregenz Bregenz 4-0 HT 2-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
02.03.2024 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 1-3 HT 0-2 Bregenz Bregenz AU2
12.08.2023 Bregenz Bregenz 0-2 HT 0-1 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
POST-MATCH Kapfenberger SV vs Bregenz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kapfenberger SV saw off Bregenz 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Kapfenberger SV made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (65%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bregenz led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kapfenberger SV and 2.00 for Bregenz.

What was the final score of Kapfenberger SV vs Bregenz?

Kapfenberger SV 3-1 Bregenz in the Austria - 1st Division on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kapfenberger SV vs Bregenz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kapfenberger SV win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Kapfenberger SV 37%, draw 26%, Bregenz 37%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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