Bregenz 1-1 Kapfenberger SV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 24 Oct 2025

📅24/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
44%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.69
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.03
6+ Goals
10%
9.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.29
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
24.45
1/X
9%
12.85
X/1
11%
6.5
X/2
14%
5.37
X/X
10%
5.05
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
21%
3.18
2/X
5%
12.55
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.45 — our 9% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.0pp
44%
Away Win
40%
+3.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.3pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bregenz EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Kapfenberger SV EU Bookmakers 45%
+10% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.54/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.39
+7% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -11%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
246 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
Crosses 18.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bregenz
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Kapfenberger SV
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Corners 9
01.12.2024 Bregenz Bregenz 4-0 HT 2-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
02.03.2024 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 1-3 HT 0-2 Bregenz Bregenz AU2
12.08.2023 Bregenz Bregenz 0-2 HT 0-1 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
POST-MATCH Bregenz vs Kapfenberger SV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bregenz and Kapfenberger SV shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Kapfenberger SV at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bregenz had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Bregenz and 1.00 for Kapfenberger SV.

What was the final score of Bregenz vs Kapfenberger SV?

Bregenz 1-1 Kapfenberger SV in the Austria - 1st Division on 24/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bregenz vs Kapfenberger SV?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kapfenberger SV win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Bregenz 32%, draw 24%, Kapfenberger SV 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kapfenberger SV), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kapfenberger SV) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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