FC Liefering 3-1 St. Pölten — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 24 Oct 2025

FC Liefering
3-1 HT 0-0
St. Pölten
📅24/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Austria - 1st Division – 2025/2026

FC Liefering vs St. Pölten Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
47%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.15
Over 2.5
58%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.94
2-3 Goals
35%
1.81
4-5 Goals
29%
2.91
6+ Goals
11%
8.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.3
1/2
6%
21.8
1/X
8%
14.0
X/1
12%
7.6
X/2 EV+ ✗
22%
4.77
X/X
10%
5.51
2/1
6%
32.5
2/2
20%
2.61
2/X
4%
13.2
Value flag · X/2 at 4.77 — our 22% vs market 16.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+2.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.3pp
47%
Away Win
48%
-0.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
43%
-1.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
57%
+1.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.0pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Liefering v St. Pölten — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Liefering EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pölten EU Bookmakers 52%
+6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -6%
1.72/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.17
+41% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
264 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 80%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
16.8 Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3

FC Liefering vs St. Pölten Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Liefering
2W-1D-3L
AWAY St. Pölten
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.62 xG 1.46
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
266 Passes 244
68% Pass Accuracy 65%
23 Box Touches 23
10 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
21.04.2025 FC Liefering FC Liefering 2-4 HT 1-1 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
18.10.2024 St. Pölten St. Pölten 0-0 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
02.03.2024 FC Liefering FC Liefering 3-1 HT 2-1 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
11.08.2023 St. Pölten St. Pölten 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
17.03.2023 St. Pölten St. Pölten 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
10.09.2022 FC Liefering FC Liefering 1-2 HT 0-2 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
POST-MATCH FC Liefering vs St. Pölten
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Liefering saw off St. Pölten 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was St. Pölten at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Pölten led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FC Liefering and 1.50 for St. Pölten.

What was the final score of FC Liefering vs St. Pölten?

FC Liefering 3-1 St. Pölten in the Austria - 1st Division on 24/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Liefering vs St. Pölten?

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Pölten win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split FC Liefering 30%, draw 23%, St. Pölten 47%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (St. Pölten) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. Pölten) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AU2 More Austria - 1st Division
24 Oct 2025
19:00 First Vienna vs Admira Wacker Analysis →
19:00 Bregenz vs Kapfenberger SV Analysis →
19:00 Austria Klagenfurt vs Sturm Graz II Analysis →
19:00 Stripfing vs WSPG Wels Analysis →