FC Liefering 2-4 St. Pölten — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 21 Apr 2025

FC Liefering
2-4 HT 1-1
St. Pölten
📅21/04/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Austria - 1st Division – 2024/2025

FC Liefering vs St. Pölten Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.69
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
41%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.86
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
2.98
6+ Goals
10%
9.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
6.41
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
21.4
1/X
8%
15.5
X/1
12%
8.62
X/2
19%
4.43
X/X
14%
5.77
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
15%
2.33
2/X
6%
14.35
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.4 — our 7% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
24%
+7.8pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.3pp
41%
Away Win
53%
-12.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.9pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Liefering v St. Pölten — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Liefering EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pölten EU Bookmakers 57%
+5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.51/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/1.18
+25% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -4%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
159 · 58% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 76%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
16.1 Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4

FC Liefering vs St. Pölten Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Liefering
2W-1D-3L
AWAY St. Pölten
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.38 xG 1.81
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
266 Passes 232
68% Pass Accuracy 65%
21 Box Touches 25
10 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.10.2024 St. Pölten St. Pölten 0-0 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
02.03.2024 FC Liefering FC Liefering 3-1 HT 2-1 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
11.08.2023 St. Pölten St. Pölten 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
17.03.2023 St. Pölten St. Pölten 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
10.09.2022 FC Liefering FC Liefering 1-2 HT 0-2 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
20.02.2022 St. Pölten St. Pölten 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
POST-MATCH FC Liefering vs St. Pölten
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pölten beat FC Liefering 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had St. Pölten as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Pölten led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FC Liefering and 1.17 for St. Pölten.

What was the final score of FC Liefering vs St. Pölten?

FC Liefering 2-4 St. Pölten in the Austria - 1st Division on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Liefering vs St. Pölten?

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Pölten win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FC Liefering 31%, draw 28%, St. Pölten 41%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Pölten), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St. Pölten) ✓ BTTS Yes
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