Ried 1-1 Austria Lustenau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 21 Apr 2025

Ried
1-1 HT 1-1
Austria Lustenau
📅21/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Austria - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Ried vs Austria Lustenau Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.37
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
18%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.56
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.14
6+ Goals
11%
10.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.56 — our 29% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.66
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
7%
19.35
X/1
17%
3.78
X/2
5%
15.75
X/X
13%
6.48
2/1
8%
23.75
2/2
8%
14.05
2/X
6%
22.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
68%
-12.4pp
26%
Draw
20%
+6.2pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+6.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.6pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ried v Austria Lustenau — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ried EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Austria Lustenau EU Bookmakers 15%
-6% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
2.74/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.66
+33% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +27%
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
352 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 202 · 63%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.5
23.2 Crosses 9.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9

Ried vs Austria Lustenau Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ried
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Austria Lustenau
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.45 xG 1.39
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
244 Passes 297
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.10.2024 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 1-1 HT 1-1 Ried Ried AU2
06.05.2023 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 2-2 HT 1-0 Ried Ried AVU
29.04.2023 Ried Ried 4-4 HT 1-3 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AVU
23.10.2022 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 0-0 HT 0-0 Ried Ried AVU
30.07.2022 Ried Ried 1-0 HT 1-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AVU
28.02.2020 Ried Ried 1-0 HT 1-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2

Ried 1-1 Austria Lustenau — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ried
1-1
AWAY Austria Lustenau
67% Ball Possession 33%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 0
FAQ Ried vs Austria Lustenau
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Ried and Austria Lustenau shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the Austria - 1st Division on 21 Apr 2025.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 45%.

On the day, Ried had 67% of the ball to Austria Lustenau's 33%, shots finished 10-10.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ried have the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ried and 1.17 for Austria Lustenau.

What was the final score of Ried vs Austria Lustenau?

Ried 1-1 Austria Lustenau in the Austria - 1st Division on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ried vs Austria Lustenau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ried win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Ried 56%, draw 26%, Austria Lustenau 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ried), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ried) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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