Austria Lustenau 1-1 Ried — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 18 Oct 2024

Austria Lustenau
1-1 HT 1-1
Ried
📅18/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Austria - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Austria Lustenau vs Ried Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.32
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
45%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.43
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.46
6+ Goals
9%
13.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.43 — our 29% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.47
1/2
6%
24.45
1/X
6%
13.9
X/1
12%
7.45
X/2
17%
4.45
X/X
10%
4.8
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.66
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+4.8pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.5pp
45%
Away Win
47%
-2.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Austria Lustenau v Ried — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austria Lustenau EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Ried EU Bookmakers 51%
+2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
2.90/2.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.77/1.69
-13% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +74%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
220 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 77%
13.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 36.2
12.8 Crosses 26.3
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.6

Austria Lustenau vs Ried Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austria Lustenau
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Ried
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.39 xG 1.45
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
297 Passes 244
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
06.05.2023 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 2-2 HT 1-0 Ried Ried AVU
29.04.2023 Ried Ried 4-4 HT 1-3 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AVU
23.10.2022 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 0-0 HT 0-0 Ried Ried AVU
30.07.2022 Ried Ried 1-0 HT 1-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AVU
28.02.2020 Ried Ried 1-0 HT 1-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
02.08.2019 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 1-1 HT 1-0 Ried Ried AU2
POST-MATCH Austria Lustenau vs Ried
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austria Lustenau and Ried couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ried at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ried led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Austria Lustenau and 1.50 for Ried.

What was the final score of Austria Lustenau vs Ried?

Austria Lustenau 1-1 Ried in the Austria - 1st Division on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austria Lustenau vs Ried?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ried win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Austria Lustenau 32%, draw 23%, Ried 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ried), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ried) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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