SV Horn 2-2 Sturm Graz II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.99
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
48%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.51
Over 2.5
61%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.43
No
44%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.48
2-3 Goals
34%
2.01
4-5 Goals
27%
2.66
6+ Goals
18%
6.44
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.56
1/2 EV+ ✗
12%
21.1
1/X
7%
12.95
X/1
11%
7.39
X/2
12%
4.96
X/X
13%
5.94
2/1
5%
29.5
2/2
23%
2.63
2/X
5%
12.75
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.1 — our 12% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-1.9pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
48%
Away Win
46%
+1.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
36%
+3.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
64%
-3.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
66%
-9.5pp
44%
BTTS No
34%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SV Horn EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Sturm Graz II EU Bookmakers 50%
+0% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
0.77/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.96
+21% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -56%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
218 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 460 · 83%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 36.0
11.7 Crosses 24.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SV Horn
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Sturm Graz II
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2024 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 2-1 HT 1-1 SV Horn SV Horn AU2
24.09.2023 SV Horn SV Horn 4-0 HT 3-0 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
16.04.2023 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 2-2 HT 1-1 SV Horn SV Horn AU2
22.07.2022 SV Horn SV Horn 2-1 HT 1-1 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
POST-MATCH SV Horn vs Sturm Graz II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SV Horn and Sturm Graz II couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sturm Graz II at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, SV Horn had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for SV Horn and 1.25 for Sturm Graz II.

What was the final score of SV Horn vs Sturm Graz II?

SV Horn 2-2 Sturm Graz II in the Austria - 1st Division on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SV Horn vs Sturm Graz II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sturm Graz II win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split SV Horn 28%, draw 24%, Sturm Graz II 48%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sturm Graz II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sturm Graz II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AU2 More Austria - 1st Division
18 Oct 2024
00:00 St. Pölten vs FC Liefering Analysis →
00:00 Stripfing vs Voitsberg Analysis →
00:00 Kapfenberger SV vs Rapid Wien II Analysis →
19:00 Lafnitz vs First Vienna Analysis →
19:00 Floridsdorfer AC vs Bregenz Analysis →
19:00 Austria Lustenau vs Ried Analysis →